Skip to main content

2018 UAM Financial Round Table

We recently had the great honor of attending the 17th annual-United American Mortgage Financial Round Table-on October 10,2018 down in Costa Mesa, CA. Hosted by Ted Learkos and his team of Jessica McClure, German Santibanez, and many more-attended by every Real Estate office from Realty Pro 100 to First Team to Keller Williams. The afternoon started after lunch sponsored by Katella Grill to the guest speaker, Steven Thomas of Reports on Housing

In his speaking appearance, Steven Thomas gave us his first "Orange County Housing & 2019 Forecast". To discuss 2019, we must first discuss the 2018 Forecast
-Low distressed inventory
-Return of unrealistic over priced seller
-Normal Cycle
-Rise in Inventory

In which, he was mostly correct. 

For the 2019 forecast; we have a record number of houses on the market,there is more inventory than demand with a steep drop as we head into the holidays. So what is this market then? It is a Balanced Market, with an average 105 Days on Market in Orange County and average 100 Days on Market in Southern California. 

So what if you are a Buyer in this market? Well, some of you wanted to wait- and this is the price of waiting. You are paying more now if you purchased your home versus if you had done it earlier in the year when interest rates are lower. What if you are a Seller in this market? We wanted more houses on the market before we sold to choose from, you know one of the ones from HGTV, and now that all the houses are here...no one is pulling the trigger. People are moving once every 20 years now, looking or making their home their "Forever Home". 

So what to say to sum this up...."Shift Happens!". What is on the horizon for 2019 Forecast
Uncertainty
Buyers - Fence Sitting
Interest Rates
Affordable Pricing Pressure
New Tax Law
Unrealistic Sellers
Normal Cycle-with Muted Activity

Steven Thomas offers monthly reports delivered to your email for $15/month or $150/year and you can sign up for them on: reportsonhousing.com . We unfortunately had to cut our time there short and head towards another destination for a business appointment, but I would highly recommend making sure you attend the United American Mortgage Financial Round Table in October of 2019! 

Thank You to United American Mortgage and Steven Thomas! 

Yorba Linda, CA-TRREG DRE#01843673-RP100 DRE#02059058-P:714-831-1800-E:info@theresultsrealestategroup.com-W:www.theresultsrealestategroup.com-Facebook - Twitter - Instagram - LinkedIn

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Your First Home: Step 8-Protect Your Investment

Welcome to the world of home ownership, besides feeling like you signed your life away-how does it feel? You may find yourself feeling pride of ownership, because you now in fact own something. But with great power comes great responsibility-home maintenance. One of the best resources for you, even after the transaction, is going to be your real estate agent. Chances are, if you need a specific kind of vendor-they have one they trust and can refer you to. Home maintenance falls into two categories: Keep it clean and keep an eye on it. Review the maintenance needs for your home once you are settled in plan for regular service. If you notice something different, investigate it and fix it. A small problem not treated turns into a massively more expensive problem when ignored. Be sure to also read your home warranty, some of the repairs that come up may be covered. Also, have reserves set up for “Life Happens” situations. Finally, the most important part, Housewarming Party! Nothing w...

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Coronavirus

Greetings, Today I wanted to simply jot down some thoughts I had about this novel coronavirus (COVID-19) that the news cycle seems to love to talk about: - Will real estate values be affected? The answer is the same as every real estate question, it depends. I believe luxury will be impacted, I think more modest dwellings will not, and for a very simple reason, there is not more inventory and people have to live somewhere. - Is this our 1987 moment? In 1987 we had Black Monday, the biggest one day stock market drop in history, afterwards, real estate prices went up in a straight line for 18 months. Just like any good investor, when there is a shock to the system, you have to recalibrate, you either go to safety (or even relative safety, like houses versus paper ownership in a company), or you go to what has been undervalued. I suspect there is a good chance this is our 1987 moment for real estate. The 80's are dead, long live the 80's. - The drop in stock price...

Your First Home: Step 7-Close

We got through the home inspection, that was intense. What’s next? Why, title and appraisal of course! We are in the home stretch; you can do this. As the lender is finalizing the mortgage, they are doing a little bit more digging: appraisal to confirm the value, survey to confirm the boundaries, title to verify ownership, and title insurance. Appraisers will look at the home and comps to determine what they think the home is worth and relay this to you and the lender. The lender will only write a loan for the home’s appraised value, so if there is a difference between selling price and appraisal price-buyer and seller have to come together to cover the gap. Therefore, it is important to create a win-win situation, both parties have to work together at times. Survey is to determine where the homes boundaries are and are not. You would be surprised how many times a neighbor’s fence may be on your property due to boundaries of each property being forgotten over time and various homeo...